JOE BIDEN IS BEATING TRUMP IN TEXAS
Quinnipiac shows Biden edging out the president—and Elizabeth Warren isn’t far behind. Is this the year Democrats finally turn the Lone Star State blue?
By Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald/Getty Images.
It’s no surprise, as a new Quinnipiac poll reveals, that Joe Biden is leading the Democratic primary race in Texas. After all, the former vice president is leading the Democratic pack everywhere. What is eye-catching, however, is the poll’s headline: “BIDEN 48, TRUMP 44.” Yes, Texas, the deep-red Lone Star State, where no Democrat has won a presidential election since 1976, when peanut farmer Jimmy Carterbeat incumbent Republican President Gerald Ford. In all 10 presidential races since then, Republicans have won Texas decisively, from George H.W. Bush’s 3.5% win over Bill Clinton to Ronald Reagan’s whopping 27.5% victory over Walter Mondale. Donald Trump himself carried the state by 9 points in 2016.
Could 2020 be the year Democrats turn Texas blue? Pundits have been asking variations of that question for years, as the state has slowly becomes younger and less white. The 2018 midterm elections seemed to be a tipping point, when El Paso native Beto O’Rourkenearly unseated apex conservative Ted Cruz in a hotly contested Senate race, putting the fear of God in Republican strategists that, come 2020, the normally reliable conservative bastion and its 38 electoral votes could go wonky.
That’s not to say that any Democrat could win in Texas. Quinnipiac finds that Trump beats every other Democratic contender not named Joe Biden. But the margin of victory is what’s truly worrisome. According to the poll, Elizabeth Warren only loses to Trump by 1 point, 46% to 45%, in a head-to-head matchup. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is only 2 points behind.
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